CBI to Tackle Digital Arrests | AMR Plan Needs a Boost | Heart-Smart Urban Planning | Cautious Optimism | Protect States’ Fiscal Space | Respect Checks & Balances | Rupee’s Fall Isn’t All Bad
CBI TO TACKLE DIGITAL ARRESTS
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Supreme Court gives CBI a nationwide mandate to investigate fast-rising ‘digital arrest’ scams.
- Centre reported ₹3,000 crore losses, mainly among senior citizens.
- Court overrides need for state consent due to exceptional circumstances.
- States directed to grant consent under DSPE Act Section 6.
- RBI, Interpol, telecom operators, and intermediaries asked to assist in curbing cyber fraud networks.
Key Points
- CBI gets “free hand” to investigate digital arrest scams first; fraudulent investments and job scams will follow as Stage 2 and 3.
- States such as Bihar, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala, Punjab, Maharashtra, West Bengal, etc., must grant DSPE Act Section 6 consent.
- Court found telecom operators negligent in issuing multiple SIMs, aiding cybercriminal anonymity.
- RBI asked to respond on using AI/ML tools to detect transaction layering and mule account networks.
- CBI to create a multi-agency team with state police officers and domain experts.
- Online intermediaries mandated under IT Rules, 2021 to share required data for investigations.
- States/UTs must operationalise Regional Cybercrime Coordination Centres linked to I4C (Indian Cybercrime Coordination Centre).
- Court recognised growing foreign bases of cybercrime and directed Interpol collaboration.
Static Linkages
- DSPE Act, 1946: CBI needs state consent unless directed by Constitutional Courts under Articles 32/226 in exceptional situations.
- Article 142: Supreme Court’s power to pass necessary orders for complete justice.
- Cybercrime Trends: NCRB categorises cyber frauds as a major share of cyber offences (over 60%).
- Telecom KYC Norms: Governed by DoT regulations requiring Aadhaar/e-KYC–based verification for SIM issuance.
- Money Laundering Layering: Defined under FATF standards, involving multi-step movement of illicit funds.
- Intermediary Due Diligence: Provided under IT Act Section 79 and IT Rules 2021.
Critical Analysis
- Pros
- Centralised probe avoids jurisdictional gaps.
- Multi-agency + AI/ML approach strengthens detection.
- Enhances accountability of telecom operators and banks.
- Expands international cooperation.
- Concerns
- May spark Centre–state friction.
- Cyber forensic capacity remains limited.
- SIM issuance lapses point to weak regulation.
- Balancing privacy with investigation needs is essential.
Way Forward
- Stricter KYC enforcement for SIMs and bank accounts.
- National cyber fraud registry integrated with banks/fintech.
- More cyber forensic labs under I4C.
- Mandatory AI-based fraud monitoring systems.
- Targeted digital literacy for senior citizens.
- Clear norms for CBI takeover of cybercrime cases.
AMR PLAN NEEDS A BOOST
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- India released NAP-AMR 2.0 (2025–29) amid rising antimicrobial resistance across human health, veterinary systems, agriculture, aquaculture, waste streams and food chains.
- Builds on NAP-AMR 2017–21, which improved awareness and surveillance but saw weak State-level execution.
- AMR is now treated as a national development priority requiring multisectoral coordination.
Key Points
- Five-year One Health strategy with clearer timelines, roles and resource planning.
- NITI Aayog to lead coordination via an intersectoral committee.
- Mandatory expectation (not binding) for States/UTs to set up AMR Cells and State Action Plans.
- Expanded surveillance across human, animal, agriculture and environmental sectors with a national dashboard.
- Stronger emphasis on private-sector engagement and innovation (diagnostics, alternatives to antibiotics).
- Better coverage of food systems, waste management and environmental discharge.
Static Linkages
- AMR is classified by WHO as a Top 10 Global Public Health Threat.
- “One Health” approach integrates human, animal and environmental health – recognised in various WHO, FAO, UNEP frameworks.
- State governments hold primary authority over Public Health (State List), Agriculture, Markets, Veterinary Services, Sanitation, and Public Order.
- NITI Aayog plays a key role in cooperative federalism; modelled after the erstwhile Planning Commission, but focuses on coordination and monitoring.
- National Health Mission (NHM) allows conditional funding tied to health priorities — proven effective for TB and maternal health.
- Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 empowers regulation of effluents, crucial for addressing antibiotic-laden waste.
- ICMR-AMR Surveillance Network (initiated 2013) is the backbone for human-health data on AMR.
Critical Analysis
- Strengths
- Stronger national oversight & sectoral integration.
- Clearer architecture for surveillance and stewardship.
- Includes private sector and environmental pathways.
- Prioritises diagnostics and scientific innovation.
- Limitations
- No binding mechanism for States; implementation remains voluntary.
- No NHM-linked incentives, limiting State urgency.
- Lacks statutory backing for surveillance or antibiotic regulation.
- High fragmentation across State departments continues.
- Stakeholder Views
- Centre pushes uniformity; States cite resource constraints.
- Private sector needs clearer stewardship norms.
- Environmental and food regulators need infrastructure upgrades.
Way Forward
- Create a National–State AMR Council for joint reviews.
- Make State AMR Plans time-bound and mandatory through formal directives.
- Provide conditional NHM funding for labs, IPC and stewardship.
- Strengthen monitoring of wastewater, aquaculture, food retail chains.
- Tighten antibiotic regulation in human and veterinary pharmacies.
- Boost R&D in rapid diagnostics and non-antibiotic alternatives.
- Expand public awareness on rational antibiotic use.
HEART -SMART URBAN PLANNING
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
- On October 8, 2025, MoHUA marked World Habitat Day (theme: Urban Solutions to Crisis) focusing on PMAY-U and Smart Cities.
- Rising behind visible issues of pollution and heat is a silent surge in heart disease and diabetes in urban India.
- Urban CVD prevalence is nearly double rural levels, with more cases among those under 50.
- Long commutes, pollution, shrinking green spaces, and inequitable access to healthcare intensify risks.
Key Points
- Healthcare services cluster by profit, not population need, leaving vast areas underserved.
- Fragmented planning fuels sedentary lifestyles, pollution, heat islands and diet shifts.
- WHO Healthy Cities shows governance can reduce chronic disease.
- AI tools (air-quality sensors, heat mapping) enable early risk detection.
- Asia may see a 91% rise in CVD mortality by 2050; marginalised groups already show a 2.3- fold rise in disease burden.
- Risk of green gentrification if equity is ignored.
Static Linkages
- Article 47: State’s duty to improve public health.
- 74th Amendment: ULBs responsible for health, sanitation, planning.
- NCERT: Urbanisation’s impact on health, pollution, and spatial inequality.
- Air Act, 1981: Regulation of PM2.5 and emissions.
- URDPFI Guidelines: Mixed land-use, walkability, integrated transport.
Critical Analysis
- Opportunities
- Health-integrated planning can cut emissions, reduce inactivity, and cool cities.
- AI-driven urban diagnostics strengthen preventive health governance.
- Mixed land-use and public transit directly lower CVD risk factors.
- Challenges
- Poor inter-agency coordination; urban health often sidelined.
- Market-driven hospital distribution → inequity.
- Heat islands and low green cover worsen cardiac risks.
- Potential displacement due to environmental upgrades.
- Stakeholders
- Urban planners: need for integrated design.
- Health sector: rising NCD burden.
- Communities: demand equitable access.
- Private sector: profit-driven expansion patterns.
Way Forward
- Mandate Health Impact Assessments (HIAs) for major projects.
- Expand primary care under NUHM in underserved zones.
- Build walkable, shaded corridors and cycling networks.
- Increase urban green cover and heat-resilient landscapes.
- Use digital equity audits for inclusive planning.
- Adopt 15-minute city principles.
- Regulate junk-food advertising, especially near schools.
- Strengthen ULBs with funds and skilled personnel.
CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
- India’s Q2 FY26 GDP grew 8.2%, surpassing forecasts and Q1 (7.8%).
- October’s record trade deficit ($41.68 bn) and tripling of bullion imports signal external stress.
- Growth driven by manufacturing, services and consumption, aided by low inflation (0.25% in October), which kept the GDP deflator below 1%.
- U.S. ‘two-stage’ tariffs and RBI’s repo cuts to 5.5% shaped the macro environment.
Key Points
- GDP Growth:
- Q2 FY26: 8.2%, well above year-ago and consensus expectations.
- Nominal GDP: 8.7%, unusually close to real GDP due to a deflator <1%.
- Demand-side Drivers:
- Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) up 7.9% (vs. 6.4% last year).
- Government consumption provided moderate support.
- Sectoral Performance (GVA):
- Manufacturing: 9.1%
- Services: 9.2%
- Construction: 7.2%
- Financial–real estate–professional services: 10.2%
- Industrial Indicators:
- IIP (September): 4% growth
- Steel: 14.1%, Cement: 5.3% — signalling infrastructure strength.
- External-Sector Risks:
- Trade deficit record-high in October.
- Possible front-loading of exports ahead of U.S. tariffs may have inflated Q2 production.
- Inflation Dynamics:
- CPI inflation at 0.25% (Oct)—lowest in current series → deflator effect artificially boosting real GDP.
- Policy Angle:
- Upcoming RBI MPC meeting could influence demand via interest rate signalling.
Static Linkages
- National Income concepts: GDP–GVA distinction, real vs. nominal GDP, GDP deflator.
- Impact of monetary policy on investment and capital formation.
- External sector fundamentals: trade deficit, tariffs, BoP.
- Structure of India’s workforce and consumption patterns.
Critical Analysis
- Positives
- Broad-based expansion in industry and services.
- Consumption revival strengthens domestic demand.
- Repo cuts likely boosted investment indicators.
- Concerns
- Statistical lift from an abnormally low deflator.
- High trade deficit and tariff exposure threaten sustainability.
- Weak rural demand, lag in labour-intensive sectors.
- Potential imported inflation if crude prices rise.
- Stakeholder View
- Govt: Sees policy validation.
- Industry: Encouraged but export concerns persist.
- RBI: Balances growth revival with inflation risks
Way Forward
- Support labour-intensive exports and MSMEs.
- Strengthen rural demand through credit and social-sector spending.
- Diversify export markets and mitigate tariff impacts.
- Maintain calibrated monetary policy.
- Improve competitiveness via logistics and PLI- driven reforms.
PROTECT STATES’ FISCAL SPACE
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
- The 16th Finance Commission (FC) has submitted its report; states expect clarity on their fiscal space.
- States have expressed concern that their share in resources is shrinking despite increasing expenditure responsibilities.
- Comparison of states’ fiscal space across 13th, 14th, and 15th FC periods shows important shifts in tax devolution and grants.
- Rise in non-sharable cesses & surcharges and reduction in GST revenues (post-GST 2.0 rate cuts + end of GST Compensation Cess) are intensifying concerns.
Key Points
- 14th FC raised state share in divisible pool 32% * 42%, lifting their fiscal space to 68.08% of combined revenue receipts.
- 15th FC period saw a slight decline to 67.39% due to:
- Drop in tax devolution (1.05 percentage points).
- Rise in non-sharable cesses/surcharges. Fall in states’ own revenue.
- High-income states (HR, KA, KL, MH, TN) saw a 0.38 percentage point fall in fiscal space from 14th → 15th FC.
- GST 2.0 rate cuts + end of GST Compensation Cess may further reduce state revenues.
Static Linkages
- Finance Commission: Article 280 mandates periodic FCs to recommend tax distribution.
- Vertical Devolution → Centre-to-state tax share; Horizontal Devolution → distribution among states using criteria such as income distance, population, forest cover, etc.
- Cesses & Surcharges are not part of divisible pool (Article 270).
- Cooperative Federalism and Fiscal Federalism concepts from Indian Constitution & 14th FC vision.
- GST: Article 279A, GST Council; compensation under GST (Compensation to States) Act, 2017 (ended June 2022).
Critical Analysis
- Strengths
- 14th FC strengthened autonomy and fiscal federalism.
- Increase in predictable transfers aided state- level planning.
- Concerns
- Rising cesses weaken formula-based transfers
- GST rate cuts reduce buoyancy; compensation ended.
- High-income states feel penalised by the income-distance criterion.
- States’ own revenues not keeping pace with responsibilities.
Way Forward
- Limit cesses/surcharges; widen divisible pool.
- Rebalance horizontal formula to address high- income states’ concerns.
- Improve GST buoyancy via rate rationalisation & compliance reforms.
- Strengthen states’ own tax sources (property tax, digital systems).
- Enhance Centre–State fiscal coordination (FC + GST Council synergy).
RESPECT CHECKS & BALANCES
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
- November 26 (Constitution Day) and December 6 (Ambedkar’s death anniversary) revived national debate on the health of India’s parliamentary democracy.
- The Winter Session of Parliament began on December 1 amid concerns over reduced sittings and weakening legislative scrutiny.
- Recent data from PRS Legislative Research highlights historically low sitting days and poor referral of Bills to Standing Committees.
- Wider concerns relate to executive dominance, federal tensions, and erosion of institutional checks.
Key Points
- Shrinking Parliamentary Sittings
- 1st Lok Sabha average: 135 days/year
- 4th Lok Sabha: 123 days/year
- 16th Lok Sabha: 66 days/year
- 17th Lok Sabha: 55 days/year (lowest since 1952)
- Weakening Legislative Oversight
- Out of 179 bills passed by the 17th Lok Sabha (excluding money bills):
- 35% passed after <1 hour debate
- Only 16% referred to Standing Committees
- Procedural Decline: Increased suspensions of Opposition MPs; treasury benches disrupting proceedings.
- Federal Imbalance
- Greater centralisation in fiscal matters (tax devolution, centrally designed schemes).
- Rising use of central agencies in Opposition- ruled states.
- Limited functioning of Inter-State Council.
- Partisan gubernatorial interventions.
- Ambedkar’s Expectations
- Rejection of presidential model; preference for continuous executive accountability to legislature.
- Emphasis on “constitutional methods” and collective responsibility.
Static Linkages
- Features of Parliamentary System: Collective responsibility, executive accountability, daily oversight.
- Constitutional provisions:
- Art. 75(3) – Council of Ministers collectively responsible to Lok Sabha.
- Art. 107–111 – Legislative procedure & President’s assent.
- Separation of Powers & checks and balances.
- Federalism:
- “Union of States” under Art. 1.
- Seventh Schedule & fiscal federalism.
- Role of Inter-State Council (Art. 263).
- Importance of Parliamentary Committees (Estimates Committee, PAC, Department-Related Standing Committees).
Critical Analysis
- Pros: Increased public debate on institutional decline; signals need for reform.
- Concerns:
- Executive dominance → rushed legislation
- Weak committees → poor scrutiny
- Centralisation → federal imbalance
- Politicised use of agencies → erodes trust
- Ethical dimension: Violates constitutional morality and Ambedkarian principles.
Way Forward
- Mandate 100+ sitting days annually.
- Ensure mandatory committee scrutiny of key Bills.
- Codify norms for Governor’s conduct.
- Revive Inter-State Council.
- Strengthen oversight of central agencies.
- Promote constitutional literacy & citizen vigilance.
RUPEE’S FALL IS NOT ALL BAD
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- The rupee has depreciated 5.6% YoY, falling from ₹84.7 to ₹89.5 per USD (approx).
- Weakening also observed against Euro (9.4%), British Pound (14.3%), Yen, and Yuan.
- RBI’s Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) index has fallen from 108.1 (Nov 2024) to 97.5 (Oct 2025), marking a shift from overvaluation * undervaluation.
- Comes amid global tariff shocks due to US President Trump’s unilateral tariffs and China redirecting excess exports globally.
- India’s goods trade deficit hit $41.7 bn in October, demanding policy realignment.
KEY POINTS
- Nominal depreciation + declining REER indicates rising external competitiveness.
- Lower domestic inflation than US, UK, EU, Japan → contributes to real depreciation.
- Undervalued rupee aids exports and reduces impact of cheap Chinese imports.
- RBI now allowing a more flexible, market- driven rupee, avoiding artificial strength.
- Depreciation helps counter China Shock 2.0 (surge in redirected Chinese industrial exports).
- Exchange rate used as a shock absorber, unlike earlier reliance on tariffs, QCOs, export bans.
- India’s current account deficit (CAD) persists → requires exchange rate adjustment.
STATIC LINKAGES
- Exchange Rate Regimes – Managed float system (NCERT Macroeconomics).
- REER vs NEER – REER adjusts for inflation differentials; NEER does not.
- Twin Deficits Hypothesis – Fiscal deficit influences CAD and external value of currency.
- Marshall-Lerner Condition – Depreciation boosts net exports if elasticities > 1.
- J-Curve Effect – Short-term worsening of trade balance after depreciation.
- RBI Functions – Managing foreign exchange under FEMA 1999.
- Balance of Payments (BoP) – Current Account + Capital Account dynamics.
CRITICAL ANALYSIS
- Pros
- Boosts exports; mitigates China’s export diversion.
- Exchange rate works as automatic stabiliser.
- Aligns currency with macro fundamentals.
- Cons
- Possible imported inflation (fuel, electronics). Higher external debt servicing.
- Volatility may affect investor sentiment.
WAY FORWARD
- Maintain calibrated rupee flexibility.
- Strengthen export logistics, diversify markets.
- Reduce import dependence (electronics, chemicals).
- Maintain strong forex buffers.