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02 December 2025

CBI to Tackle Digital Arrests | AMR Plan Needs a Boost | Heart-Smart Urban Planning | Cautious Optimism | Protect States’ Fiscal Space | Respect Checks & Balances | Rupee’s Fall Isn’t All Bad

CBI TO TACKLE DIGITAL ARRESTS

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Supreme Court gives CBI a nationwide mandate to investigate fast-rising ‘digital arrest’ scams.
  • Centre reported ₹3,000 crore losses, mainly among senior citizens.
  • Court overrides need for state consent due to exceptional circumstances.
  • States directed to grant consent under DSPE Act Section 6.
  • RBI, Interpol, telecom operators, and intermediaries asked to assist in curbing cyber fraud networks.

Key Points

  • CBI gets “free hand” to investigate digital arrest scams first; fraudulent investments and job scams will follow as Stage 2 and 3.
  • States such as Bihar, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala, Punjab, Maharashtra, West Bengal, etc., must grant DSPE Act Section 6 consent.
  • Court found telecom operators negligent in issuing multiple SIMs, aiding cybercriminal anonymity.
  • RBI asked to respond on using AI/ML tools to detect transaction layering and mule account networks.
  • CBI to create a multi-agency team with state police officers and domain experts.
  • Online intermediaries mandated under IT Rules, 2021 to share required data for investigations.
  • States/UTs must operationalise Regional Cybercrime Coordination Centres linked to I4C (Indian Cybercrime Coordination Centre).
  • Court recognised growing foreign bases of cybercrime and directed Interpol collaboration.

Static Linkages

  • DSPE Act, 1946: CBI needs state consent unless directed by Constitutional Courts under Articles 32/226 in exceptional situations.
  • Article 142: Supreme Court’s power to pass necessary orders for complete justice.
  • Cybercrime Trends: NCRB categorises cyber frauds as a major share of cyber offences (over 60%).
  • Telecom KYC Norms: Governed by DoT regulations requiring Aadhaar/e-KYC–based verification for SIM issuance.
  • Money Laundering Layering: Defined under FATF standards, involving multi-step movement of illicit funds.
  • Intermediary Due Diligence: Provided under IT Act Section 79 and IT Rules 2021.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Centralised probe avoids jurisdictional gaps.
    • Multi-agency + AI/ML approach strengthens detection.
    • Enhances accountability of telecom operators and banks.
    • Expands international cooperation.
  • Concerns
    • May spark Centre–state friction.
    • Cyber forensic capacity remains limited.
    • SIM issuance lapses point to weak regulation.
    • Balancing privacy with investigation needs is essential.

Way Forward

  • Stricter KYC enforcement for SIMs and bank accounts.
  • National cyber fraud registry integrated with banks/fintech.
  • More cyber forensic labs under I4C.
  • Mandatory AI-based fraud monitoring systems.
  • Targeted digital literacy for senior citizens.
  • Clear norms for CBI takeover of cybercrime cases.

AMR PLAN NEEDS A BOOST

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • India released NAP-AMR 2.0 (2025–29) amid rising antimicrobial resistance across human health, veterinary systems, agriculture, aquaculture, waste streams and food chains.
  • Builds on NAP-AMR 2017–21, which improved awareness and surveillance but saw weak State-level execution.
  • AMR is now treated as a national development priority requiring multisectoral coordination.

Key Points

  • Five-year One Health strategy with clearer timelines, roles and resource planning.
  • NITI Aayog to lead coordination via an intersectoral committee.
  • Mandatory expectation (not binding) for States/UTs to set up AMR Cells and State Action Plans.
  • Expanded surveillance across human, animal, agriculture and environmental sectors with a national dashboard.
  • Stronger emphasis on private-sector engagement and innovation (diagnostics, alternatives to antibiotics).
  • Better coverage of food systems, waste management and environmental discharge.

Static Linkages

  • AMR is classified by WHO as a Top 10 Global Public Health Threat.
  • “One Health” approach integrates human, animal and environmental health – recognised in various WHO, FAO, UNEP frameworks.
  • State governments hold primary authority over Public Health (State List), Agriculture, Markets, Veterinary Services, Sanitation, and Public Order.
  • NITI Aayog plays a key role in cooperative federalism; modelled after the erstwhile Planning Commission, but focuses on coordination and monitoring.
  • National Health Mission (NHM) allows conditional funding tied to health priorities — proven effective for TB and maternal health.
  • Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 empowers regulation of effluents, crucial for addressing antibiotic-laden waste.
  • ICMR-AMR Surveillance Network (initiated 2013) is the backbone for human-health data on AMR.

Critical Analysis

  • Strengths
    • Stronger national oversight & sectoral integration.
    • Clearer architecture for surveillance and stewardship.
    • Includes private sector and environmental pathways.
    • Prioritises diagnostics and scientific innovation.
  • Limitations
    • No binding mechanism for States; implementation remains voluntary.
    • No NHM-linked incentives, limiting State urgency.
    • Lacks statutory backing for surveillance or antibiotic regulation.
    • High fragmentation across State departments continues.
  • Stakeholder Views
    • Centre pushes uniformity; States cite resource constraints.
    •   Private sector needs clearer stewardship norms.
    • Environmental and food regulators need infrastructure upgrades.

Way Forward

  •  Create a National–State AMR Council for joint reviews.
  • Make State AMR Plans time-bound and mandatory through formal directives.
  • Provide conditional NHM funding for labs, IPC and stewardship.
  • Strengthen monitoring of wastewater, aquaculture, food retail chains.
  • Tighten antibiotic regulation in human and veterinary pharmacies.
  • Boost R&D in rapid diagnostics and non-antibiotic alternatives.
  • Expand public awareness on rational antibiotic use.

HEART -SMART URBAN PLANNING

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • On October 8, 2025, MoHUA marked World Habitat Day (theme: Urban Solutions to Crisis) focusing on PMAY-U and Smart Cities.
  • Rising behind visible issues of pollution and heat is a silent surge in heart disease and diabetes in urban India.
  • Urban CVD prevalence is nearly double rural levels, with more cases among those under 50.
  • Long commutes, pollution, shrinking green spaces, and inequitable access to healthcare intensify risks.

Key Points

  • Healthcare services cluster by profit, not population need, leaving vast areas underserved.
  • Fragmented planning fuels sedentary lifestyles, pollution, heat islands and diet shifts.
  • WHO Healthy Cities shows governance can reduce chronic disease.
  • AI tools (air-quality sensors, heat mapping) enable early risk detection.
  • Asia may see a 91% rise in CVD mortality by 2050; marginalised groups already show a 2.3- fold rise in disease burden.
  • Risk of green gentrification if equity is ignored.

Static Linkages

  • Article 47: State’s duty to improve public health.
  • 74th Amendment: ULBs responsible for health, sanitation, planning.
  • NCERT: Urbanisation’s impact on health, pollution, and spatial inequality.
  • Air Act, 1981: Regulation of PM2.5 and emissions.
  • URDPFI Guidelines: Mixed land-use, walkability, integrated transport.

Critical Analysis

  • Opportunities
    • Health-integrated planning can cut emissions, reduce inactivity, and cool cities.
    • AI-driven urban diagnostics strengthen preventive health governance.
    • Mixed land-use and public transit directly lower CVD risk factors.
  • Challenges
    • Poor inter-agency coordination; urban health often sidelined.
    • Market-driven hospital distribution → inequity.
    • Heat islands and low green cover worsen cardiac risks.
    • Potential displacement due to environmental upgrades.
  • Stakeholders
    • Urban planners: need for integrated design.
    • Health sector: rising NCD burden.
    • Communities: demand equitable access.
    • Private sector: profit-driven expansion patterns.

Way Forward

  • Mandate Health Impact Assessments (HIAs) for major projects.
  • Expand primary care under NUHM in underserved zones.
  • Build walkable, shaded corridors and cycling networks.
  • Increase urban green cover and heat-resilient landscapes.
  • Use digital equity audits for inclusive planning.
  • Adopt 15-minute city principles.
  • Regulate junk-food advertising, especially near schools.
  • Strengthen ULBs with funds and skilled personnel.
CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • India’s Q2 FY26 GDP grew 8.2%, surpassing forecasts and Q1 (7.8%).
  • October’s record trade deficit ($41.68 bn) and tripling of bullion imports signal external stress.
  • Growth driven by manufacturing, services and consumption, aided by low inflation (0.25% in October), which kept the GDP deflator below 1%.
  • U.S. ‘two-stage’ tariffs and RBI’s repo cuts to 5.5% shaped the macro environment.

Key Points

  • GDP Growth:
    • Q2 FY26: 8.2%, well above year-ago and consensus expectations.
    • Nominal GDP: 8.7%, unusually close to real GDP due to a deflator <1%.
  • Demand-side Drivers:
    • Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) up 7.9% (vs. 6.4% last year).
    • Government consumption provided moderate support.
  • Sectoral Performance (GVA):
    • Manufacturing: 9.1%
    • Services: 9.2%
    • Construction: 7.2%
    • Financial–real estate–professional services: 10.2%
  • Industrial Indicators:
    • IIP (September): 4% growth
    • Steel: 14.1%, Cement: 5.3% — signalling infrastructure strength.
  • External-Sector Risks:
    • Trade deficit record-high in October.
    • Possible front-loading of exports ahead of U.S. tariffs may have inflated Q2 production.
  • Inflation Dynamics:
    • CPI inflation at 0.25% (Oct)—lowest in current series → deflator effect artificially boosting real GDP.
  • Policy Angle:
    • Upcoming RBI MPC meeting could influence demand via interest rate signalling.

Static Linkages

  • National Income concepts: GDP–GVA distinction, real vs. nominal GDP, GDP deflator.
  • Impact of monetary policy on investment and capital formation.
  • External sector fundamentals: trade deficit, tariffs, BoP.
  • Structure of India’s workforce and consumption patterns.

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Broad-based expansion in industry and services.
    • Consumption revival strengthens domestic demand.
    • Repo cuts likely boosted investment indicators.
  • Concerns
    • Statistical lift from an abnormally low deflator.
    • High trade deficit and tariff exposure threaten sustainability.
    • Weak rural demand, lag in labour-intensive sectors.
    • Potential imported inflation if crude prices rise.
  • Stakeholder View
    • Govt: Sees policy validation.
    • Industry: Encouraged but export concerns persist.  
    • RBI: Balances growth revival with inflation risks

Way Forward

  • Support labour-intensive exports and MSMEs.
  • Strengthen rural demand through credit and social-sector spending.
  • Diversify export markets and mitigate tariff impacts.
  • Maintain calibrated monetary policy.
  • Improve competitiveness via logistics and PLI- driven reforms.

PROTECT STATES’ FISCAL SPACE 

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • The 16th Finance Commission (FC) has submitted its report; states expect clarity on their fiscal space.
  • States have expressed concern that their share in resources is shrinking despite increasing expenditure responsibilities.
  • Comparison of states’ fiscal space across 13th, 14th, and 15th FC periods shows important shifts in tax devolution and grants.
  • Rise in non-sharable cesses & surcharges and reduction in GST revenues (post-GST 2.0 rate cuts + end of GST Compensation Cess) are intensifying concerns.

Key Points

  • 14th FC raised state share in divisible pool 32% * 42%, lifting their fiscal space to 68.08% of combined revenue receipts.
  • 15th FC period saw a slight decline to 67.39% due to:
    • Drop in tax devolution (1.05 percentage points).
    • Rise in non-sharable cesses/surcharges.  Fall in states’ own revenue.
  • High-income states (HR, KA, KL, MH, TN) saw a 0.38 percentage point fall in fiscal space from 14th → 15th FC.
  • GST 2.0 rate cuts + end of GST Compensation Cess may further reduce state revenues.

Static Linkages

  • Finance Commission: Article 280 mandates periodic FCs to recommend tax distribution.
  • Vertical Devolution → Centre-to-state tax share; Horizontal Devolution → distribution among states using criteria such as income distance, population, forest cover, etc.
  • Cesses & Surcharges are not part of divisible pool (Article 270).
  • Cooperative Federalism and Fiscal Federalism concepts from Indian Constitution & 14th FC vision.
  • GST: Article 279A, GST Council; compensation under GST (Compensation to States) Act, 2017 (ended June 2022).

Critical Analysis

  • Strengths
    • 14th FC strengthened autonomy and fiscal federalism.
    • Increase in predictable transfers aided state- level planning.
  • Concerns
    • Rising cesses weaken formula-based transfers
    • GST rate cuts reduce buoyancy; compensation ended.
    • High-income states feel penalised by the income-distance criterion.
    • States’ own revenues not keeping pace with responsibilities.

Way Forward

  • Limit cesses/surcharges; widen divisible pool.
  • Rebalance horizontal formula to address high- income states’ concerns.
  • Improve GST buoyancy via rate rationalisation & compliance reforms.
  • Strengthen states’ own tax sources (property tax, digital systems).
  • Enhance Centre–State fiscal coordination (FC + GST Council synergy).

RESPECT CHECKS & BALANCES

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • November 26 (Constitution Day) and December 6 (Ambedkar’s death anniversary) revived national debate on the health of India’s parliamentary democracy.
  • The Winter Session of Parliament began on December 1 amid concerns over reduced sittings and weakening legislative scrutiny.
  • Recent data from PRS Legislative Research highlights historically low sitting days and poor referral of Bills to Standing Committees.
  • Wider concerns relate to executive dominance, federal tensions, and erosion of institutional checks.

Key Points

  • Shrinking Parliamentary Sittings
    • 1st Lok Sabha average: 135 days/year  
    • 4th Lok Sabha: 123 days/year
    • 16th Lok Sabha: 66 days/year
    • 17th Lok Sabha: 55 days/year (lowest since 1952)
  • Weakening Legislative Oversight
    • Out of 179 bills passed by the 17th Lok Sabha (excluding money bills):
  • 35% passed after <1 hour debate  
  • Only 16% referred to Standing Committees
  • Procedural Decline: Increased suspensions of Opposition MPs; treasury benches disrupting proceedings.
  • Federal Imbalance
    • Greater centralisation in fiscal matters (tax devolution, centrally designed schemes).
    • Rising use of central agencies in Opposition- ruled states.
    • Limited functioning of Inter-State Council.
    • Partisan gubernatorial interventions.
  • Ambedkar’s Expectations
    • Rejection of presidential model; preference for continuous executive accountability to legislature.
    • Emphasis on “constitutional methods” and collective responsibility.

Static Linkages

  • Features of Parliamentary System: Collective responsibility, executive accountability, daily oversight.
  • Constitutional provisions:
    • Art. 75(3) – Council of Ministers collectively responsible to Lok Sabha.
    • Art. 107–111 – Legislative procedure & President’s assent.
    • Separation of Powers & checks and balances.
  • Federalism:
    • “Union of States” under Art. 1.
    • Seventh Schedule & fiscal federalism.  
    • Role of Inter-State Council (Art. 263).
  • Importance of Parliamentary Committees (Estimates Committee, PAC, Department-Related Standing Committees).

Critical Analysis

  • Pros: Increased public debate on institutional decline; signals need for reform.
  • Concerns:
    • Executive dominance → rushed legislation  
    • Weak committees → poor scrutiny
    • Centralisation → federal imbalance
    • Politicised use of agencies → erodes trust
  • Ethical dimension: Violates constitutional morality and Ambedkarian principles.

Way Forward

  • Mandate 100+ sitting days annually.
  • Ensure mandatory committee scrutiny of key Bills.  
  • Codify norms for Governor’s conduct.
  • Revive Inter-State Council.
  • Strengthen oversight of central agencies.
  • Promote constitutional literacy & citizen vigilance.

RUPEE’S FALL IS NOT ALL BAD

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • The rupee has depreciated 5.6% YoY, falling from ₹84.7 to ₹89.5 per USD (approx).
  • Weakening also observed against Euro (9.4%), British Pound (14.3%), Yen, and Yuan.
  • RBI’s Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) index has fallen from 108.1 (Nov 2024) to 97.5 (Oct 2025), marking a shift from overvaluation * undervaluation.
  • Comes amid global tariff shocks due to US President Trump’s unilateral tariffs and China redirecting excess exports globally.
  • India’s goods trade deficit hit $41.7 bn in October, demanding policy realignment.

KEY POINTS

  • Nominal depreciation + declining REER indicates rising external competitiveness.
  • Lower domestic inflation than US, UK, EU, Japan → contributes to real depreciation.
  • Undervalued rupee aids exports and reduces impact of cheap Chinese imports.
  • RBI now allowing a more flexible, market- driven rupee, avoiding artificial strength.
  • Depreciation helps counter China Shock 2.0 (surge in redirected Chinese industrial exports).
  • Exchange rate used as a shock absorber, unlike earlier reliance on tariffs, QCOs, export bans.
  • India’s current account deficit (CAD) persists → requires exchange rate adjustment.

STATIC LINKAGES

  • Exchange Rate Regimes – Managed float system (NCERT Macroeconomics).
  • REER vs NEER – REER adjusts for inflation differentials; NEER does not.
  • Twin Deficits Hypothesis – Fiscal deficit influences CAD and external value of currency.
  • Marshall-Lerner Condition – Depreciation boosts net exports if elasticities > 1.
  • J-Curve Effect – Short-term worsening of trade balance after depreciation.
  • RBI Functions – Managing foreign exchange under FEMA 1999.
  • Balance of Payments (BoP) – Current Account + Capital Account dynamics.

CRITICAL ANALYSIS

  • Pros
    • Boosts exports; mitigates China’s export diversion.
    • Exchange rate works as automatic stabiliser.  
    • Aligns currency with macro fundamentals.
  • Cons
    • Possible imported inflation (fuel, electronics).  Higher external debt servicing.
    • Volatility may affect investor sentiment.

WAY FORWARD

  • Maintain calibrated rupee flexibility.
  • Strengthen export logistics, diversify markets.
  • Reduce import dependence (electronics, chemicals).
  • Maintain strong forex buffers.