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20 January 2026

SC Flags SIR Stress In Bengal | Link digital currencies: RBI | IMF Upgrades India's Growth Projhection To 7.3% | ED Actions And Media Trial |Small Tables, Big Dividends | Fractured Yemen | PM, UAE President | US Mid- Terms: Test For Trump 2.0 | Trump’s Gaza Invite: Handle With Care | Weed-hit Farms Need Science

SC FLAGS SIR STRESS IN BENGAL

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

What is Special Intensive Revision (SIR)?
  • SIR is a comprehensive revision of electoral rolls conducted by the Election Commission of India (ECI).
  • Objective:
    • Remove duplicate, fake, or ineligible voters  Ensure accuracy and purity of electoral rolls
  • Legal basis:
    • Representation of the People Act, 1950
    • Powers exercised under Article 324 of the Constitution

What Triggered the Supreme Court’s Intervention?

  • ECI issued notices to ~1.36 crore voters (≈20% of West Bengal’s population).
  • Notices sought explanation for “logical discrepancies” such as:
    • More than six children
    • Minor spelling differences in names  Parent–child age gap of ~15 years
    • Grandparents shown as under 40 years  
  • Supreme Court observed:
    • Exercise causing mental stress and administrative chaos
    • Risk of mass disenfranchisement before final roll publication

Why Did the Court Find the Criteria Problematic?

  • No explicit statutory backing for criteria like number of children
  • Family size has no direct relevance to voter eligibility
  • Age gaps or spelling errors common due to:
    • Illiteracy
    • Migration
    • Clerical errors
  • Court questioned:
    • Whether such assumptions violate ground realities (e.g., child marriage)

Constitutional and Legal Dimensions

  • Article 324:
    • Grants ECI broad powers
    • Powers are not absolute and subject to judicial review
  • Right to Vote:
    • Statutory right, but deletion affects:
      • Article 14 (arbitrariness)
      • Article 21 (procedural fairness)
  • Principles of Natural Justice:
  • Right to notice  
  • Right to hearing
  • Reasoned decision

Administrative Failures Highlighted

  • Only 500 verification centres for 1.36 crore notices
  • Required nearly 1,900 centres for timely hearings
  • Only 15 lakh hearings conducted, while deadlines approaching
  • Booth Level Agents of political parties allegedly excluded
  • Instructions circulated through WhatsApp instead of formal circulars
  • Rejection of state school board admit cards, despite being statutory documents
  • Supreme Court’s Key Directions Explained
  • Public Display of Names:  Ensures transparency
  • Allows community verification  
  • Extension of Time:
    • Prevents exclusion due to procedural delays
  • Mandatory Receipts:
    • Protects citizens from administrative denial  
  • Authorized Representatives Allowed:
    • Helps elderly, migrant, and vulnerable voters
  • State Support to ECI:
    • Human resources to ensure smooth process

Why Is This Case Important for Democracy?

  • Electoral roll accuracy is the foundation of free and fair elections
  • Over-zealous verification can:
    •  Exclude genuine voters
    • Undermine public trust in institutions  
  • Balance required between:
    • Electoral integrity  
    • Voter inclusion

Ethical and Governance Angle

  • Burden of proof placed disproportionately on citizens
  • Lack of empathy in administrative processes  
  • Raises questions on:
    • Transparency  
    • Accountability
    • Proportionality of state action

Way Forward (Explained)

  • Define clear, legally sanctioned criteria for discrepancies
  • Increase infrastructure before mass notices  
  • Ensure formal communication channels
  • Allow political party oversight to enhance trust  
  • Shift from suspicion-based to inclusion-based governance

LINK DIGITAL CURRENCIES: RBI

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

What is the News About?s

  • Reserve Bank of India has suggested that BRICS countries should explore linking their Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
  • This proposal may be discussed at the 2026 BRICS Summit.
  • The idea is to allow cross-border payments directly using digital currencies issued by central banks, instead of relying on the US dollar.

What is a CBDC?

  • A CBDC is:
    • A digital form of sovereign currency
    • Issued and regulated by a central bank  
    • Legal tender (unlike private cryptocurrencies)
  • India’s CBDC is called the Digital Rupee (e₹).

Why is RBI Supporting CBDC Linkage?

1.Problems in Current Cross-Border Payments

  • Slow settlement (days)
  • High transaction costs  
  • Dependence on:
    • US dollar
    • SWIFT system
  • Vulnerability to sanctions and geopolitical risks.

2. Advantages of CBDC Linkage

  • Instant settlement
  • Lower cost
  • Direct central bank-to-central bank transfer 
  • Greater transparency and traceability

Why BRICS is Important in This Context

  • BRICS includes major emerging economies  Large share of global:
    • Population  
    • Trade
    • Energy flows
  • Linking CBDCs can:

Does This Mean De-Dollarisation?

  • NO
  • RBI has clearly stated:
    • Goal is payment efficiency  
    • Not replacing the US dollar
  • However:
    • Reduced dollar use can be a side effect, not the objective

India’s Digital Rupee Status

  • Launched: December 2022  
  • Users: ~7 million
  • Features:
    • Offline payments (important for inclusion)  
    • Programmability (targeted subsidies)
    • Fintech wallet integration

Key Challenges in Linking BRICS CBDCs

1.Technology Issues

  • Different countries use different platforms
  • No global CBDC interoperability standard yeT

2. Trust & Governance

  • Countries hesitant to adopt others’ technology  
  • Data security and sovereignty concerns

3. Trade Imbalances Example:

    • Russia earned large amounts of Indian rupees
    • Limited avenues to use them  
  • This creates settlement stress

How Trade Imbalance May Be Managed

  • Proposed solution:
    • Foreign Exchange (FX) Swap Arrangements  
  • Meaning:
    • Central banks exchange currencies for a fixed period
    • Settlements done weekly/monthly
    • Reduces pressure of unused balances

Why the US is Concerned

  • The US sees CBDC linkage as:
    • Weakening dollar dominance
    • Reducing effectiveness of sanctions  
  • Former US President Donald Trump has:
    • Called BRICS “anti-
    • American”  Threatened tariffs

Way Forward

  • Begin with small bilateral CBDC pilots  
  • Develop common technical standards  
  • Use neutral platforms like BIS
  • Strengthen FX swap mechanisms
  • Ensure AML/CFT compliance
  • Gradual multilateral expansion

IMF UPGRADES INDIA’S GROWTH PROJECTION TO 7.3%

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context (Current Affairs)
  • International Monetary Fund revised India’s GDP growth for FY 2025–26 to 7.3% (from 6.6%) in January 2026 World Economic Outlook Update.
  • Revision based on better-than-expected Q3 performance and strong Q4 momentum.
  • Projection is close to Government of India’s estimate: 7.4%.
  • Inflation expected to return near 4% target of Reserve Bank of India.

Key Points (Facts & Data)

  • India GDP Growth (FY 2025–26): 7.3% (IMF)
  • Revision Magnitude: +0.7 percentage points  
  • Medium-term Growth: ~6.4% in 2026–27
  • Global Growth:
    • 2026: 3.3%
    • 2027: 3.2%
  • Growth Drivers (Global):
    • AI & technology-led investment
    • Accommodative financial conditions  
    • Fiscal & monetary support
  • Key Risk: Trade policy uncertainty

Static Linkages (Economy Concepts)

  • GDP growth as indicator of economic expansion
  • Cyclical vs structural growth factors
  • Inflation targeting framework (4% ± 2%)  
  • Role of monetary–fiscal coordination
  • Global spillovers via trade, capital flows, technology

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Confirms macroeconomic stability  
    • Enhances investor confidence
    • Supports fiscal consolidation with growth
    • Strengthens India’s global economic position
  • Concerns
    • Growth moderation ahead indicates structural gaps
    • External risks: protectionism, geopolitics
    • Uneven sectoral recovery (MSMEs, informal sector)

Way Forward

  • Push structural reforms (land, labour, logistics)  
  • Strengthen manufacturing & exports
  • Focus on private investment revival
  • Maintain inflation discipline
  • Invest in human capital & technology
ED ACTIONS AND MEDIA TRIAL
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • June 2024: Madras High Court stayed all Enforcement Directorate (ED) proceedings against private individuals allegedly linked to a TASMAC liquor scam.
  • Court found absence of any scheduled (predicate) offence under the PMLA.
  • Searches, seizures, sealing of premises, and coercive summons declared without jurisdiction.
  • ED withdrew search authorisation, returned seized materials, and issued unconditional apology.
  • On issuance of fresh summons, Supreme Court of India stayed the probe citing federalism concerns and institutional overreach.

Key Points

  • ED derives powers from Prevention of Money Laundering Act, 2002.
  • Money laundering offence is dependent on existence of a scheduled offence.
  • Key ED powers:
    • Section 17: Search and seizure.
    • Section 19: Arrest without warrant (reason to believe).
    • Section 50: Summons and statements under oath.
    • Twin conditions for bail under PMLA reverse presumption of innocence.
  • Courts have reiterated:
    • Rumours/media reports ≠ “credible information”.
    • ED cannot act independently of predicate offence.
  • ED actions increasingly face judicial invalidation for procedural violations.

Static Linkages

  • Rule of Law: Executive action must have legal basis and procedural fairness.
  • Article 21: Protection of personal liberty against arbitrary state action.
  • Federalism: Police and public order under State List; limits on central agency intrusion.
  • Separation of Powers: Judicial review as check on executive excess.
  • Criminal Jurisprudence: Presumption of innocence as general rule.
  • Media Ethics: No “trial by media” (Press Council of India norms).

Critical Analysis

  • Issues Identified
    • Initiation of ED action without established predicate offence.
    • Broad discretionary powers → scope for arbitrary enforcement.
    • Difficulty in securing bail under PMLA affects liberty.
    • Selective investigations and media leaks cause reputational damage.
    • Repeated corruption cases against ED officials weaken credibility.
  • Justifications
    • Economic offences involve complex financial networks.
    • Strong laws required to meet FATF obligations.
    • Preventing dissipation of proceeds of crime needs early intervention.

Way Forward

  • Mandatory establishment of scheduled offence before ED coercive action.
  • Clear statutory limits on Sections 17, 19, and 50.  
  • Uniform audio-video recording of interrogations.
  • Time-bound release of attached assets if proceedings fail.
  • Parliamentary and judicial oversight of ED functioning.
  • Fast-track review of Vijay Madanlal Choudhary vs Union of India judgment.
  • Strengthen internal vigilance and ethics mechanisms.

SMALL TABLES, BIG DIVIDENDS

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Republic Day 2026 chief guests: European Union institutional leadership
  • Indicates shift from bilateral symbolism to bloc-level diplomacy
  • Reflects India’s strategy to exploit global leadership gaps (“white spaces”)
  • Occurs amid:
    • Strategic rivalry among major powers  
    • Weakening multilateral institutions
    • Rise of issue-based coalitions

Key Points

  • EU Engagement
    • Engagement with EU as a single regulatory and economic bloc
    • Focus areas:
      • Trade standards
      • Climate regulations
      • Digital and data governance  
      • Competition policy
  • India–EU FTA
    • Beyond tariff reduction:
      • Market access rules  
      • Sustainability norms
      • Supply-chain resilience  
    • Strategic gains:
      • Diversification from China-centric value chains
      • Hedge against US trade pressure  White Space Diplomacy
    • Areas where:
      • Problems are global
      • No single power provides leadership  
    • India acts through:
      • Convening power
      • Coalition-building  
      • Norm shaping
  • BRICS (2026 Chairmanship)
    • Expanded membership → diluted cohesion
    • Core demands:
      • Global South representation
      • Development finance reform
    • Risks:
      • Anti-West positioning
      • De-dollarisation narrative  
    • India’s role:
      • Functional focus
      • Delivery-oriented agenda
  • Quad Dimensio
    • Potential Quad Leaders’ Summit in India
    • Focus areas:
      • Maritime domain awareness  
      • Disaster response
      • Resilient port infrastructure
    • Emphasis on non-military public goods  
  • Global Multilateral Stress
    • UN:
      • Strong legitimacy
      • Weak delivery capacity
    • G20:
      •  Affected by geopolitical rivalry
      •  Reduced focus on Global South priorities

Static Linkages

  • Coalition diplomacy in multipolar world order  
  • Minilateralism vs multilateralism
  • Trade diversification and supply-chain resilience  
  • Development finance through multilateral banks
  • Disaster diplomacy and humanitarian assistance

Critical Analysis (Points Only)

  • Pros
    • Enhances India’s role as rule-shaper
    • Reduces overdependence on single markets
    • Strengthens Global South leadership credibility  
    • Converts strategic capacity into public goods
  • Cons / Challenges
    • Higher compliance costs for Indian firms
    • Divergent interests within BRICS
    • Risk of trade retaliation by major powers  
    • Institutional overstretch across forums

Way Forward

  • Prioritise selective forum leadership
  • Fast-track India–EU FTA with phased compliance  
  • Keep BRICS reformist, not revisionist
  • Institutionalise Quad public goods delivery
  • Balance strategic autonomy with partnerships
FRACTURED YEMEN

 

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Armed clash between Saudi-backed Yemeni government and UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC).
  • STC launched offensive in Hadhramaut and Al- Mahra (oil-rich eastern Yemen).
  • Government forces regained control with Saudi air support.
  • STC announced dissolution in Riyadh; later disputed by its UAE-based leadership.
  • Open diplomatic strain between Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.
  • UAE declared withdrawal of troops from Yemen.

Key Facts / Core Points

  • Yemen conflict is multi-layered:
    • Houthis vs Yemeni government.
    • Government vs southern separatists.
    • Saudi Arabia vs UAE strategic divergence.
  • Houthis (Ansar Allah) control Sanaa and northern population centres
  • STC seeks revival of pre-1990 South Yemen.
  • Saudi priority: border security and containment of Houthis.
  • UAE priority: control of southern ports, maritime routes, counter-Islamist groups.
  • Internal fragmentation weakens Yemeni state sovereignty
  • Civilian impact: famine risk, infrastructure collapse, displacement.

Static Linkages

  • Federalism as a conflict-management mechanism in divided societies.
  • Proxy warfare in West Asia.
  • Sectarian dimension: Zaidi Shia (Houthis) vs Sunni-backed government.
  • Strategic importance of Bab-el-Mandeb Strait (global trade & energy).
  • UN Charter principles: sovereignty, non- intervention.
  • International Humanitarian Law in non- international armed conflicts.

Critical Analysis

  • Concerns
    • Saudi–UAE rivalry undermines coalition coherence.
    • Houthis gain strategic advantage amid southern infighting.
    • Weak central authority fuels separatism.
    • Political instability worsens humanitarian crisis.
  • Limited Positives
    • Short-term de-escalation in southern Yemen.
    • Reduced direct Saudi-UAE military confrontation after UAE withdrawal.

Way Forward

  • Inclusive federal political settlement within Yemen.
  • Saudi-UAE diplomatic coordination, not proxy competition.
  • Integration of southern actors into national framework.
  • UN-led peace process revival.
  • Priority to humanitarian access and economic reconstruction.

PM, UAE PRESIDENT

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • PM Narendra Modi met UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in New Delhi.
  • Meeting held amid instability in West Asia (Gaza conflict, Yemen tensions).
  • Part of India–UAE Comprehensive Strategic Partnership.
  • Aim: deepen cooperation without involvement in regional conflicts (strategic autonomy).

Key Points

  • Defence
    • Framework pact + Letter of Intent for Strategic Defence Partnership.
    • Regular joint military exercises; Service Chiefs’ exchanges.
  • Trade & Economy
    • Bilateral trade reached USD 100 billion (FY 2024–25).
    • Target set to USD 200 billion by 2032.   
    • CEPA signed in 2022 as growth driver.
  • Energy
    • 10-year LNG agreement: HPCL–ADNOC Gas.
    • Supply: 0.5 MTPA LNG from 2028.
    • UAE = India’s 2nd largest LNG supplier.
  • Technology & Innovation
    • Cooperation in AI, supercomputing cluster, space sector.
    • Collaboration on advanced nuclear technologies, including SMRs.
  • Finance & Infrastructure
    • First Abu Dhabi Bank, DP World offices at GIFT City.
    • Investment cooperation for Dholera Special Investment Region.
  • Digital & Payments
    • Proposal to interlink national payment systems.
    • Exploration of a digital/data embassy.
  • Security & Terrorism
    • Joint condemnation of terrorism.
    • Cooperation under Financial Action Task Force framework.
  • People-to-People
    • Establishment of House of India in Abu Dhabi.

Static Linkages (Points Only)

  • Strategic autonomy in Indian foreign policy.
  • Energy security through diversification of suppliers.
  • CEPA as a tool for trade liberalisation.
  • Defence diplomacy and joint military exercises.
  • Peaceful use of nuclear energy and safety norms.
  • Diaspora as an instrument of soft power.

Critical Analysis (Points)

  • Pros
    • Strengthens India’s energy and economic security.
    • Enhances India’s role as a balanced West Asia partner.
    • Promotes high-technology collaboration.
  • Challenges
    • Regional instability may affect energy supply chains.
    • Nuclear cooperation requires strong regulatory capacity.
    • Trade target depends on removal of non-tariff barriers.

Way Forward

  • Institutionalise defence industrial cooperation.
  • Fast-track CEPA implementation and review.
  • Build domestic capacity for SMRs and nuclear safety.
  • Deepen digital payments interoperability.
  • Maintain balanced ties amid Gulf rivalries.

US MID -TERM: TEST FOR TRUMP 2.0

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • Donald Trump completed one year in office after being sworn in on January 20 last year.
  • His presidency marked by disruptive unilateralism, departure from multilateral norms, and aggressive deal-making.
  • Global geopolitics witnessing heightened uncertainty, erosion of institutions, and strategic instability.

Key Developments

  • America First Doctrine (Intensified):
    • Preference for unilateral actions and bilateral deals.
    • Skepticism towards multilateral institutions seen as constraints on US sovereignty.
  • Retreat from Multilateralism:
    • Withdrawal from Paris Climate Agreement.  
    • Initiated exit from World Health Organization.
    • Exit from 66 international organisations, including UNFCCC/IPCC, UN Women, UNFPA, parts of UNHRC, UNESCO remnants.
  • Security & Conflict:
    • US mediation in Russia–Ukraine conflict.  
    • Strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.
    • US-brokered Gaza ceasefire; UN sidelined.
    • Alleged double standards on human rights (Iran protests vs Gaza civilian deaths).
  • Trans-Atlantic Tensions:
    • Tariff threats on EU nations.
    • Greenland issue raising concerns of intra- North Atlantic Treaty Organization discord.
  • Arms Control:
    • New START Treaty expires on February 5.
    • Last remaining bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between US and Russia.
  • India–US Dimension:
    • India invited to join US-led “Board of Peace for Gaza”.
    • Opportunity for strategic engagement amid trade tensions.

Static Linkages

  • Sovereignty vs Multilateralism (Westphalian state system).
  • Collective Security (UN, NATO framework).
  • Arms Control & Deterrence (Cold War legacy treaties).
  • Climate Governance: CBDR principle under UNFCCC.

Critical Analysis

  • Positive Aspects
    • Faster decision-making through bilateralism.
    • Strategic leverage via economic and military pressure.
  • Negative Aspects
    • Weakening of UN-centric global order.
    • Erosion of climate, health, and arms control regimes.
    • Increased global instability and unpredictability.
    • Credibility deficit due to selective human rights approach.
  • Stakeholders Impacted
    • EU: Economic and security uncertainty.
    • UN & Global South: Marginalisation in decision- making.
    • India: Strategic opportunity with diplomatic risks.

Way Forward

  • Maintain strategic autonomy while engaging the US.
  • Support issue-based multilateralism with EU, Japan, Global South.
  • Advocate renewal/replacement of New START.
  • Reinforce commitment to climate and health governance through alternative forums.
TRUMP’S GAZA INVITE: HANDLE WITH CARE
KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • In November, the United Nations Security Council adopted Resolution 2803 on Gaza; only Russia and China abstained.
  • The resolution supported Palestinian self- determination and implicitly a two-state solution.
  • It proposed a Board of Peace to facilitate post- conflict transition and civilian protection in Gaza.
  • The United States has invited India and around 60 countries to join this Board.
  • The initiative is closely linked to the policy approach of Donald Trump, creating geopolitical uncertainty.

Key Points

  • Board of Peace mandate is limited to Gaza and Palestine under the UNSC resolution.
  • Objectives: stability, lawful governance, humanitarian relief, and long-term peace.
  • Concerns over vague mandate and potential unilateral influence by the US.
  • India must balance participation with principles of strategic autonomy and multilateralism.
  • West Asia stability directly impacts India’s energy security, diaspora, and trade routes.

Static Linkages

  • India’s long-standing support to the Palestinian cause and two-state solution (NCERT Polity).
  • UNSC powers under Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
  • Principles of India’s foreign policy: Non- Alignment, Strategic Autonomy, Panchsheel.
  • Concept of multilateral diplomacy and collective security (India Year Book).

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Ensures India’s presence in shaping post- conflict governance in West Asia.
    • Reinforces India’s image as a responsible, peace-oriented global actor.
  • Concerns
    • Risk of erosion of multilateral consensus due to US unilateralism.
    • Ambiguity in Board’s mandate may conflict with international law norms.
  • India’s Dilemma
    • Participation vs protection of strategic autonomy.
    • Engagement without endorsement of extra- mandate interventions.

Way Forward

  • Engage conditionally within UNSC-mandated scope.
  • Coordinate with like-minded countries for consensus-based decisions.
  • Reiterate commitment to two-state solution and civilian protection.
  • Maintain diplomatic flexibility amid shifting US foreign policy.
WEED-HIT FARMS NEED SCIENCE

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Mustard farmers in Rajasthan and Haryana affected by Orobanche aegyptiaca, a root parasitic weed.
  • Weed causes damage before emerging above ground, making manual removal ineffective.
  • Highlights urgency of agricultural R&D amid climate change, labour shortage, and new pest threats.
  • Development of herbicide-tolerant crops through mutation breeding and gene editing.
  • Government permitted commercial cultivation of non-GM herbicide-tolerant and gene-edited crops.
  • Debate revived on allowing GM crops, especially GM mustard.

Key Points

  • Orobanche aegyptiaca:
    • Obligate root parasite, lacks chlorophyll.
    • Major threat to mustard and other broadleaf crops.
  • Herbicide-tolerant crops in India:
    • Rice with mutated ALS gene → tolerant to imazethapyr.
    • Wheat varieties with similar herbicide tolerance.
    • Mustard hybrids tolerant to imazapyr and imazapic.
  • Technology pathway:
    • Traits introduced via mutation breeding, not transgenic GM.
  • GM research:
    • GM mustard developed with cp4 epsps gene + double-mutant ALS gene.
    • Enables tolerance to multiple herbicides.
  • Rationale:
    • Multiple herbicide options reduce weed resistance development.
    • Important for edible oil security.

Static Linkages

  • Weeds:
    • Compete with crops for nutrients, water, light (NCERT Biology).
  • Parasitic plants:
    • Holoparasites depend fully on host for nutrition.
  • Mutation breeding:
    • Uses radiation/chemicals to induce genetic variation.
  • ALS enzyme:
    • Essential for synthesis of branched-chain amino acids.
  • Food security:
    • India heavily import-dependent on edible oils (Economic Survey).

Critical Analysis

  • Advantages
    • Effective control of underground parasitic weeds.
    • Reduces labour dependency.
    • Improves crop productivity and farmer incomes.  
    • Supports climate-resilient agriculture.
  • Concerns
    • Excessive herbicide use may harm soil and biodiversity.
    • Risk of herbicide-dependent farming.
    • GM crops face biosafety and public acceptance issues.
    • Possible higher input costs for small farmers.

Way Forward

  • Promote Integrated Weed Management (IWM).
  • Allow scientific field trials of GM crops with biosafety safeguards.
  • Strengthen public sector agricultural R&D.
  • Monitor herbicide use through regulatory frameworks.
  • Improve farmer awareness via extension services.