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15 January 2026

Iran warns of Swift Executions | SC to Rule On Euthanasia Plea | No Demand To Share Phone Code | UGC Issues Rules vs Caste Bias | Delhi Riots Custody Injustice | India’s Minerals Diplomacy | Moving On | The Great Reckoning | Delhi & Berlin: Stability Amid | India China Doing Their Fair Share

IRAN WARNS OF SWIFT EXECUTIONS

 

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Background

  • Nationwide anti-government protests have erupted in Iran, one of the largest in recent years.
  • The protests have been met with a severe security crackdown, resulting in over 2,500 deaths, as reported by Human Rights Activists News Agency.

Key Developments

  • Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei, head of Iran’s judiciary:
    • Signalled swift trials and executions for detained protesters.
    • Emphasised speed to ensure “deterrent effect”.
  • His statement defied warnings issued by Donald Trump, who:
    • Warned of “very strong action” if executions take place.
    • Indicated possible military consequences, following earlier US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025.

Internal Situation in Iran

  • Mass funeral held for ~100 security personnel killed during protests.
  • Public fear persists:
    • Presence of plainclothes security forces.
    • Anti-riot police and Basij reportedly withdrawn to barracks.
  • Strong regime symbolism:
    • Funeral attended by tens of thousands with images of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Role of Technology & Information Control

  • Government imposed an internet shutdown to curb mobilisation.
  • Starlink:
    • Offered free satellite internet in Iran.
    • Helped activists bypass censorship.
  • Iranian authorities reportedly raiding buildings to locate Starlink dishes
    • Satellite dishes are officially illegal, though enforcement was lax earlier.

Regional & International Concerns

  • Arab Gulf states:
    • Urging restraint on the US.
    • Fear escalation into a full-blown regional war.
  • Reflects broader Middle East instability, especially post Israel–Iran confrontation (June 2025).

Implications

  • Human Rights
    • Raises concerns over:
      • Due process
      • Right to life
      • Use of capital punishment as political repression
  • International Law & Diplomacy  Potential violation of:
    • ICCPR obligations (fair trial, freedom of expression).
    • Highlights limits of external pressure on authoritarian regimes.
  • Technology & Governance
    • Satellite internet as a tool of:  
    • Digital resistance
    • Transnational activism
  • Challenges state sovereignty vs. global tech platforms.

Prelims Pointers

  • Basij → Paramilitary volunteer force linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard.
  • Starlink → Satellite-based internet by SpaceX.  
  • Mohseni-Ejei → Head of Iran’s judiciary.
  • Protests → Among deadliest in Iran’s recent history.

SC TO RULE ON EUTHANASIA PLEA

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Supreme Court of India to pass final order on a plea seeking passive euthanasia by withdrawal of artificial life support.
  • Case involves a 31-year-old man in Permanent Vegetative State (PVS) for over 13 years following severe brain injury.
  • Bench personally interacted with parents and sibling to verify free, informed and unanimous consent.
  • Primary and secondary medical boards unanimously recommended discontinuation of life-sustaining treatment.
  • Centre supported the decision, stating continuation serves no therapeutic purpose.

Key Points

  • Passive euthanasia: Withdrawal/withholding of life-support where recovery is medically impossible.
  • Patient certified to be in irreversible PVS with no possibility of regaining consciousness.
  • Decision based on:
    • Family consent
    • Medical board opinion
  • Supreme Court’s procedural safeguards  Emphasis on dignity over mere biological survival
  • Court recognised emotional, ethical and caregiving burden on ageing parents.

Static Linkages

  • Article 21: Right to life includes right to live with dignity.
  • Difference between:
    • Active euthanasia → illegal
    • Passive euthanasia → conditionally legal
  • Living Will / Advance Medical Directive recognised by judiciary.
  • Medical ethics principles:
    • Autonomy
    • Beneficence
    • Non-maleficence
  • Judicial guidelines operate in absence of statutory law.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Protects human dignity.
    • Prevents unnecessary suffering. 
    • Respects family autonomy.
    • Clear medical and legal safeguards.
  • Cons / Concerns
    • No comprehensive legislation on euthanasia.  
    • Risk of inconsistent application across States.  
    • Emotional burden on families making end-of- life decisions.
    • Limited access to palliative care in India.

Way Forward

  • Enact a comprehensive End-of-Life Care law.
  • Standardise medical board procedures nationwide.
  • Promote awareness of Living Wills.
  • Strengthen palliative and hospice care systems.
  • Regular ethical training for doctors and legal authorities.

NO DEMAND TO SHARE PHONE CODE

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News 
  • Reports claimed the Union Government planned to mandate source code disclosure by smartphone manufacturers.
  • The claim was denied by the Government and the industry body Mobile and Electronics Association of India (MAIT).
  • The controversy related to the Indian Telecom Security Assurance Requirement (ITSAR), 2023 issued by the National Centre for Communication Security (NCCS) under the Department of Telecommunications.
  • An Office Memorandum (June 2025) amended ITSAR, removing all references to mandatory source code sharing.
  • Smartphone security oversight has shifted from DoT to the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY).
  • Smartphones are currently exempt from the relevant certification scheme.

Key Points

  • No mandatory source code disclosure is required under the amended ITSAR.
  • Amendment mandates:
    • Internal security test report
    • Exclusion of Intellectual Property (IP) details
    • Mandatory summary of vulnerabilities classified by risk
  • Government clarified consultations are non- binding and exploratory.
  • Industry welcomed MeitY’s consultative and transparent approach.
  • Earlier reports relied on the unamended April 2023 draft, which was never enforced.

Static Linkages

  • Right to Privacy: Proportionality principle (Puttaswamy case).
  • Cyber Security Framework:
    • National Cyber Security Policy, 2013  
    • CERT-In guidelines
  • Telecom & Digital Governance:
    • Indian Telegraph Act, 1885 (legacy regulation
    • Draft Telecommunications Bill (reform orientation)
  • Intellectual Property Rights:
    • Trade secrets protection under TRIPS
  • Global Practice:
    • Security audits preferred over blanket source code access.

Critical Analysis

  • Advantages
    • Protects proprietary technology and innovation.
    • Enhances investor confidence and ease of doing business.
    • Aligns regulation with proportionality and global norms.
  • Concerns
    • Reduced direct access for the State to verify device-level security.
    • Reliance on self-reported internal audits.
    • Absence of a comprehensive, binding smartphone security framework.

Way Forward

  • Create a risk-based digital device security framework.
  • Strengthen independent, accredited security testing labs.
  • Institutionalise responsible vulnerability disclosure mechanisms.
  • Ensure coordination among MeitY, CERT-In, and telecom regulators.
  • Periodic updating of standards aligned with international benchmarks.
UGC ISSUES RULES VS CASTE BIAS
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • University Grants Commission (UGC) notified Promotion of Equity in Higher Education Institutions Regulations, 2026.
  • Replaces/updates 2012 anti-discrimination regulations.
  • Final rules modified after criticism of 2025 draft (exclusion of OBCs, vague definition, penalty for “false complaints”).

Key Provisions

  • Coverage Expanded:
    • Caste-based discrimination includes SCs, STs, and OBCs.
  • Definition of Discrimination:
    • Any explicit/implicit unfair, differential, or biased treatment.
    • Grounds: religion, race, caste, gender, place of birth, disability.
    • Includes acts impairing equality in education and human dignity.
  • Institutional Mechanism:
    • Mandatory Equal Opportunity Centre (EOC) in every HEI.
    • Equity Committee under EOC.  
  • Composition:
    • Chaired by Head of Institution.
    • Mandatory representation: SCs, STs, OBCs, Persons with Disabilities, Women.
  • Functioning & Reporting:
    • Equity Committee: minimum two meetings/year.
    • EOC: bi-annual report to UGC.
  • Monitoring & Enforcement:
    • National-level Monitoring Committee by UGC with statutory councils/commissions.
    • Penalties for non-compliance up to debarment from offering degrees/programmes.
  • Dropped Clause:
    • No provision to penalise “false complaints”.

Static Linkages

  • Article 14 – Equality before law.
  • Article 15 – Prohibition of discrimination; scope for affirmative action.
  • Article 21 – Right to life includes human dignity (SC jurisprudence).
  • Social Justice – Constitutional protection to SCs/STs/OBCs in education.
  • Regulatory Oversight – Role of statutory bodies in maintaining standards.

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Aligns regulations with constitutional equality.  
    • Explicit inclusion of OBCs.
    • Institutionalises monitoring and accountability.
    • Clearer definition reduces ambiguity.
  • Concerns
    • Implementation depends on institutional capacity.
    • Risk of formal compliance without substantive change.
    • No explicit time-bound grievance redressal.

Way Forward

  • Detailed implementation guidelines by UGC.  
  • Capacity-building & sensitisation in HEIs.
  • Link compliance with NAAC accreditation.
  • Ensure time-bound, transparent grievance redressal.
  • Periodic review based on outcomes.

DELHI RIOTS CUSTODY INJUSTICE

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • In January 2026, the Supreme Court decided bail pleas in the Delhi Riots “larger conspiracy” case arising from protests against the Citizenship (Amendment) Act, 2019.
  • Seven student activists were arrested in 2020 under provisions of the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act (UAPA).
  • The accused had undergone more than five years of incarceration; trial has not yet commenced.
  • The Court granted bail to five accused but denied bail to Umar Khalid and Sharjeel Imam.
  • The order has raised concerns regarding personal liberty, delay in trial, and interpretation of anti-terror laws.

Key Points

  • Bail granted on grounds of prolonged incarceration to five accused.
  • Bail denied to two accused citing alleged role in “conceptualising” the conspiracy.
  • Court acknowledged right to re-apply for bail after one year on grounds of delay.
  • Trial delay partly attributed to accused as well as systemic factors.
  • Court adopted a broad interpretation of Section 15, UAPA.
  • Bail governed by Section 43D(5), UAPA, requiring only prima facie satisfaction.

Static Linkages

  • Article 21 – Right to life and personal liberty
  • Right to speedy trial as a facet of Article 21
  • Bail jurisprudence in criminal law
  • Strict interpretation of penal statutes  
  • Doctrine of proportionality
  • Preventive detention vs punitive detention
  • Reasonable restrictions on fundamental rights

Critical Analysis

  • On Personal Liberty
    • Prolonged incarceration without trial undermines Article 21.
    • Differential bail treatment based on allegations raises equality concerns.
  • On Interpretation of UAPA
    • Expansive reading of “terrorist act” risks conflating protest with terrorism.
    • Vague statutory language increases prosecutorial discretion.
  • On Bail Jurisprudence
    • Section 43D(5) shifts balance heavily in favour of the State.
    • Prima facie test limits judicial scrutiny at bail stage.
  • On Judicial Approach
    • Deferential acceptance of conspiracy allegations despite lack of direct evidence.
    • Limited consideration of realistic trial timelines despite large number of witnesses.
  • Democratic Impact
    • Chilling effect on freedom of speech and peaceful protest.
    • Risk of normalising prolonged undertrial detention.

Way Forward

  • Ensure time-bound trials in cases involving prolonged custody.
  • Apply narrow and strict interpretation of penal provisions.
  • Periodic judicial review of long-pending undertrial cases.
  • Clear statutory distinction between violent acts and civil protests.
  • Strengthen proportionality and liberty-centric constitutional interpretation.
  • Institutional reforms to reduce trial delays in special laws.
INDIA’S MINERALS DIPLOMACY

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • India’s clean energy transition (EVs, renewables, storage) is highly dependent on imported critical minerals such as lithium, cobalt, nickel and rare earth elements (REEs).
  • China’s tightening export controls on rare earths and critical mineral processing have increased supply chain risks globally.
  • India has pursued multiple bilateral and multilateral partnerships over the last five years to diversify mineral sourcing and reduce strategic vulnerability.
  • Debate has emerged on the effectiveness, depth and delivery of these partnerships.

Key Points

  • India currently imports nearly 100% of lithium and cobalt, and over 85% of rare earth processing is China-dominated.
  • Australia:
    • India–Australia Critical Minerals Investment Partnership (2022).
    • Five lithium and cobalt projects identified for joint investment.
  • Japan:
    • Cooperation with Indian Rare Earths Limited (IREL).
    • Joint processing, stockpiling and third- country extraction agreements (2023).
  • Africa:
    • Agreements with Namibia (lithium, REEs, uranium).
    • Asset acquisition talks in Zambia (copper, cobalt).
  • United States:
    • Strategic initiatives: TRUST Initiative, Strategic Minerals Recovery Initiative.
    • Engagement affected by Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) incentives and tariff uncertainties.
  • European Union:
    • EU Critical Raw Materials Act emphasizes sustainability, traceability and circular economy.
  •  West Asia:
    • UAE and Saudi Arabia investing in battery materials and refining capacity.
    • Potential midstream processing hubs.
  • Latin America:
    • KABIL signed ₹200 crore agreement with Argentina for lithium exploration.
    • High competition from China and Western firms.
  • Canada:
    • Reserves of nickel, cobalt, copper and REEs.  
    • Trilateral cooperation with India and Australia.
  • Russia:
    • Significant reserves but constrained by sanctions and logistics.

Static Linkages

  • Critical minerals are essential for energy security and strategic autonomy.
  • Processing and refining are higher value-added segments than extraction.
  • Diversification of supply chains reduces geopolitical and economic shocks.
  • ESG norms increasingly influence trade, investment and technology access.
  • Public sector role in strategic sectors through entities like KABIL and IREL.

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Reduced overdependence on a single country (China).
    • Access to technology, finance and best practices.
    • Enhances India’s geopolitical leverage in energy diplomacy.
  • Challenges
    • Weak domestic processing and refining capacity.
    • Many partnerships remain MoUs without execution.
    • ESG compliance gaps may limit access to EU and OECD markets.
    • High global competition for overseas assets.  
    • Policy uncertainty in partner countries (U.S. trade policy, sanctions on Russia).
  • Stakeholder Concerns
    • Host countries demand local value addition.
    • Indian private sector faces financial and technological constraints.
    • Environmental and social opposition to mining projects.

Way Forward

  •  Build domestic midstream capacity (refining, separation, processing).
  • Integrate ESG, transparency and traceability into mining policy.
  • Shift from extraction-only deals to value-chain partnerships.
  • Strengthen role of KABIL with financial and technical autonomy.
  • Promote recycling, urban mining and substitution R&D.
  • Align standards with EU and global sustainability frameworks.
  • Long-term strategic stockpiling similar to Japan’s model.

MOVING ON

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context

  • December 2025 retail inflation recorded at 1.33%, the last CPI reading with Base Year 2012.
  • CPI inflation averaged 1.7% (Apr–Dec 2025) vs 4.9% in the same period of 2024.
  • Despite low inflation, private consumption growth slowed, raising credibility concerns.
  • Household Inflation Expectations Survey (Dec 2025) by Reserve Bank of India shows perceived inflation at 6.6%, rising to 8% (1-year ahead).
  • New CPI series with Base Year 2024 to be released from January 2026, based on HCES 2023–24.

Key Points

  • CPI (2012 base) no longer reflects current consumption patterns.
  • Gap between official inflation and perceived inflation has widened.
  • Low CPI inflation did not translate into higher consumption demand.
  • CPI weights still reflect 2011–12 expenditure structure.
  • Subsidised food, digital services, health, education, housing costs are misrepresented.
  • CPI update aims to improve:
    • Accuracy of inflation measurement  
    • Monetary policy signalling
    • Welfare and subsidy calibration

Static Linkages

  •  CPI compiled by National Statistical Office.
  • Uses Laspeyres Index (fixed base-year weights).
  • CPI is the nominal anchor under Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT) framework.
  • Inflation target: 4% ± 2% (RBI Act, 1934 – amended).
  • Inflation expectations influence wage-setting, consumption, and savings behaviour.
  • Economic Survey flags risks of data lag and measurement bias.

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Low inflation supports macroeconomic stability.
    • Reduces interest burden and fiscal stress.
    • Provides space for growth-supportive monetary policy.
  • Concerns
    • CPI fails to capture service-sector inflation.   
    • Outdated weights distort real cost of living.
    • Risk of policy misjudgment if inflation is underestimated.
    • Weakens public trust in official statistics. Policy Risk
    • Underestimated inflation may delay timely monetary tightening.
    • Inflation expectations may become de-anchored.

Way Forward

  • Timely and smooth rollout of CPI Base Year 2024.  
  • Increase frequency of Household Consumption Surveys.
  • Publish disaggregated inflation indices (region/income group).
  • Complement CPI with Cost of Living or Services Inflation Index.
  • Integrate inflation perception data into policy assessment.
  • Improve communication strategy to manage expectations.

THE GREAT RECKONING

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • December 2025: Protests began in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar over currency collapse and inflation
  • Trigger factors: Fuel price hike, rollback of food subsidies
  • Protests expanded nationwide; violent clashes reported
  • January 2026: U.S. President called for regime takeover, hinting at intervention
  • Israel–U.S. bombing campaign (June 2025) worsened economic distress
  • State crackdown; conflicting casualty claims by rights groups vs Iranian media

Key Points

  • Iran faces simultaneous internal unrest and external pressure
  • Rial depreciation and inflation intensified by sanctions + war damage
  • Security forces remain institutionally loyal to the regime
  • 2024 Presidential election: ~50% voter participation
  • Pro-government rallies indicate partial domestic legitimacy
  • Risk of regime-change intervention re- emerging in West Asia

Static Linkages

  • Sanctions & Economy: Impact of economic sanctions on developing economies
  • State Capacity: Role of coercive apparatus in authoritarian systems
  • Regime Change:Historical outcomes of external intervention (Iraq, Libya)
  • West Asia geopolitics: Strategic importance of Iran in energy & security
  • Balance of Power: U.S.–Israel strategic alignment

Critical Analysis

  • Concerns
    • Economic mismanagement and governance deficit in Iran
    • High inflation disproportionately affects urban poor
    • Shrinking civic space and human rights violations
    • External threats worsen internal polarization
  • Against Military Intervention
    • Historical failure of regime-change wars
    • Risk of regional destabilization (West Asia spillover)
    • Strengthens hardliners within Iran  
    • Civilian suffering likely to intensify
  • Stakeholder Perspectives
    • Protesters: Economic justice, political reform
    •  Iranian state: Regime survival, sovereignty
    • U.S./Israel: Strategic containment
    • Region: Fear of escalation

Way Forward

  • International engagement over isolation
  • Targeted sanctions relief linked to reforms  
  • Economic stabilization via multilateral assistance
  • Encourage inclusive political reforms  
  • Avoid militarization of internal dissent. 
DELHI & BERLIN: STABILITY AMID
KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Friedrich Merz paid his first official visit to India, signalling deeper India–Germany strategic engagement.
  • Visit occurred amid global instability, weakening multilateralism, and realignments due to the Russia–Ukraine war.
  • Both sides emphasised strengthening partnerships among democratic powers beyond symbolism.
  • Outcome-oriented visit with 27 deliverables (19 MoUs + 8 announcements) and invitation to PM for next IGC in Berlin.

Key Points

  • Political & Strategic
    • Shared assessment of a changing global order; need for closer coordination among trusted partners.
    • Commitment to sustain momentum via Intergovernmental Consultations (IGC).
  • Trade & Economy
    • Bilateral trade ~$51 billion; Germany is India’s largest EU trade partner.
    • German support for early conclusion of India–EU Free Trade Agreement.
    • Focus on economic resilience and avoiding one- sided supply-chain dependencies.
  • Technology
    • Recognition of weaponisation and control of critical technologies.
    • Agreement to cooperate among trusted partners in emerging/critical tech.
  • Defence
    • Shift in Germany’s defence export policy; clearance backlogs reduced.
    • Decision to develop a defence industrial cooperation roadmap, including submarine-related cooperation.
    • India reiterated strategic autonomy in defence sourcing.
  • Energy & Climate
    • Deepened cooperation on green hydrogen.
    • Long-term green ammonia off-take agreement between AM Green (India) and Uniper (Germany).
  • People-to-People
    • ~3 lakh Indian-origin people and ~60,000 Indian students in Germany.
    • Germany welcomed Indian students and skilled professionals.
    • Diaspora issues flagged for sensitive handling.
  • Geopolitics
    • Exchanges on Russia–Ukraine, West Asia, and the Indo-Pacific.
    • Emphasis on dialogue, shared principles, pragmatic coordination despite differences.

Static Linkages

  • India–Germany Strategic Partnership (2000); IGC institutionalised (2011).
  • India’s doctrine of Strategic Autonomy in foreign and defence policy.
  • National Green Hydrogen Mission (India); National Hydrogen Strategy (Germany).
  • India–EU engagement pillars: FTA, Trade and Technology Council (TTC).

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Strengthens India’s Europe pivot amid US–China rivalry.
    • Boosts supply-chain diversification and defence indigenisation.
    • Advances energy transition via green hydrogen/ammonia.
  • Challenges
    • Divergent views on Russia–Ukraine.
    • EU regulatory standards may slow FTA progress.
    • Need to safeguard strategic autonomy amid defence cooperation

Way Forward

  • Fast-track India–EU FTA with balanced market access.  
  • Operationalise defence co-development and co- production.
  • Expand trusted tech partnerships (semiconductors, AI, cyber).
  • Scale green hydrogen corridors and export frameworks.
INDIA , CHINA DOING THEIR FAIR SHARE

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Carbon Brief (2025 data) shows India and China led global renewable energy (RE) capacity additions.
  • First decline in coal-based power generation in India and China in nearly 50 years.
  • Achieved despite rising electricity demand, especially in China.
  • Counters criticism that developing countries obstruct global decarbonisation due to carbon budget demands.

Key Points

  • India and China were the largest contributors to global RE expansion in 2025.
  • China reduced coal generation even as electricity demand rose nearly five times vs 2024.
  • India likely to become 2nd largest renewables market globally within five years.
  • Global green power generation increased by~71 TWh in 2025.
  • EU fossil-fuel electricity rose >10% in early 2025 due to weak wind and drought.
  • EU solar capacity additions fell for the first time in a decade.
  • US GHG emissions increased in 2025, reversing a decline since 2005.
  • IEA notes global clean energy targets depend largely on developed economies’ actions.

Static Linkages

  • Common but Differentiated Responsibilities (CBDR) principle under UNFCCC.
  • Carbon budget and historical emissions responsibility.
  • Renewable intermittency (solar/wind variability).
  • Need for grid modernisation for variable power flow.
  • Role of energy storage systems (battery, pumped hydro).
  • Link between energy transition and sustainable development.

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Strengthens India–China position in climate diplomacy.
    • Demonstrates decoupling of growth from emissions.
    • Supports equity-based climate action narrative.
  • Challenges
    • RE intermittency threatens grid stability.
    • Insufficient storage and transmission capacity.
    • Developed countries reverting to fossil fuels weakens global effort.
    • Ageing grids unsuitable for variable renewable inputs.

Way Forward

  • Upgrade and modernise power grids.
  • Scale up investment in energy storage.
  • Enhance climate finance and technology transfer.
  • Strengthen South–South cooperation in clean energy.
  • Hold developed countries accountable to emission reduction commitments.