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19 November 2025

SC Recalls Order on Green Clearances | Kerala Seeks SIR Delay Amid Staff Shortage | Time to Fix India’s Cereal Mess | Unpacking the Global Happiness Ranking | Excessive Dependence | Bad Tidings | U.S., Saudi Ties Strained by Israel’s Role | Madvi Hidma’s Death Leaves Maoists Adrift | Gaza Resolution Cannot Exclude Israel | Base Effects, Bullion Shape CPI Inflation

SC RECALLS ORDER ON GREEN  CLEARANCES

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • A Supreme Court Bench recalled its May 16, 2024 judgment that termed ex post facto ECs “illegal.”
  • CJI Gavai + Justice Chandran (majority) held that continuing the old verdict would cause heavy economic losses and halt major public projects.
  • Justice Bhuyan (dissent) argued retrospective ECs undermine environmental jurisprudence and precautionary principles.
  • The May judgment had struck down 2017 Notification & 2021 OM that allowed retrospective ECs.

Key Points

  • Majority view:
    • Demolishing major projects (AIIMS Odisha, SAIL, Karnataka airport) is not in public interest.
    • Ex post facto ECs may be allowed exceptionally, with strong penalties.
  • Dissenting view:
    • Retrospective ECs violate precautionary principle and sustainable development.
    • Court should not “prod” the government to regularise violations.
  • Earlier verdict accused Centre of legitimising illegal constructions.

Static Linkages

  • Precautionary Principle – Vellore Citizens Case (1996).
  • Sustainable Development – Article 21 jurisprudence.
  • Polluter Pays Principle – NEP 2006, SC doctrine.
  • EPA 1986 – legal basis of EIA notifications.
  • Doctrine of Public Trust – SC in M.C. Mehta cases.
  • Judicial Review – Articles 32, 136.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Prevents economic waste; protects public infrastructure.
    • Ensures continuity of essential projects and employment.
    • Allows compliance through penalties.
  • Cons
    • Incentivises starting projects without prior ECs.
    • Dilutes environmental safeguards.
    • Weakens consistency of environmental jurisprudence.
    • May reduce accountability of project developers.
  • Stakeholders
    • Govt: Flexibility  Industry: Relief
    • Public/Environment groups: Concern over pollution & legal dilution

Way Forward

  • Time-bound, transparent EC processes.
  • Graded penalties linked to environmental harm.
  • Strengthen EIA monitoring via tech & public participation.
  • Post-facto ECs strictly exceptional.
  • Establish independent Environmental Regulator.

KERALA SEEKS SIR DELAY AMID STAFF SHORTAGE

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • Kerala has moved the Supreme Court seeking postponement of the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls.
  • SIR (Nov 4–Dec 4) clashes with Local Self- Government Institution (LSGI) elections scheduled on Dec 9 and 11.
  • State claims simultaneous conduct will overburden personnel and hinder LSGI election deadlines under Articles 243-E & 243- U (5-year mandate).

Key Points

  • SIR requires 1.76 lakh staff, 68,000 security personnel, and 25,668 additional staff.
  • Kerala argues the trained pool is limited; both exercises together would cause “administrative impasse.”
  • State questions SIR’s constitutionality, but the current plea only targets its timing.
  • Kerala has 1,200 LSGIs and 23,612 wards; elections must be completed before 21 December.

Static Linkages

  • Art. 243-E/243-U → Tenure of Panchayats & Municipalities.
  • Art. 243-K/243-ZA → State Election Commissions’ powers.
  • Art. 324 → ECI powers on electoral rolls.  RPA 1950 → Basis for roll preparation.
  • Kerala Panchayat Raj Act (Sec 38) & Municipality Act (Sec 94) → Electoral roll provisions.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Prevents administrative overload.
    • Helps maintain quality of both SIR and elections.
    • Ensures timely conduct of LSGI elections. Concerns
    • May be seen as interference with ECI’s autonomy.
    • Delay can affect accuracy of future electoral rolls.
    • Sets precedent for States seeking deferrals.
  • Stakeholders
    • State Govt: Feasibility, staffing.
    • EC/SEC: Mandate to maintain rolls & conduct elections.
    • Judiciary: Must balance mandates.

Way Forward

  • Create a nationally aligned SIR calendar.
  • Build a larger trained electoral workforce.
  • Adopt tech-enabled roll updating (privacy- compliant).
  • Strengthen Centre–State coordination for election scheduling.
  • Use phased SIR to reduce logistical load.

TIME TO FIX INDIA’S CEREAL MESS

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • Tamil Nadu faced controversy in kuruvai paddy procurement due to delays, corruption charges, and unexpected rise in cultivation (~2 lakh acres).
  • Reflects larger issues in India’s procurement– PDS system, especially oversupply of rice and continued dependence on imports of pulses and edible oils.

Key Points

  • National paddy (rice) procurement touched 119.86 lakh tonnes (Oct 2025) vs 82.08 lakh tonnes in 2024.
  • Central pool rice stock: 356.1 lakh tonnes vs norm 102.5 lakh tonnes—over 3× the requirement.
  • Wheat PDS offtake exceeded procurement in 2 of the last 3 years.
  • ₹2 lakh crore annual food subsidy burden.
  • Imports (2023–24): Edible oil ₹1.2 lakh crore, Pulses ₹30,000 crore; 55% edible oil demand met through imports.
  • Oilseed area static (~25 million ha), production rarely crosses 400 lakh tonnes.
  • ICRIER estimates 28% leakage in rice–wheat distribution.
  • MSP-centric procurement continues to incentivise paddy over diversification.

Static Linkages

  • MSP decided by CACP; benefits concentrated regionally.
  • Buffer Stock Norms under Dept. of Food & Public Distribution.
  • Green Revolution legacy → cereal- centric agriculture.
  • Continuous cereal cultivation → soil degradation, groundwater stress.
  • NFSA: PDS coverage 75% rural, 50% urban.
  • Crop diversification promoted under DFI, NMSA.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Ensures food security & stable farmer incomes.
    • Supports NFSA obligations and stabilises prices.
  • Concerns
    • Excess rice stocks, high fiscal cost.
    • Heavy import dependence for pulses/oilseeds.
    • Distorted cropping patterns favouring paddy.
    • Significant PDS inefficiencies and leakages.
    • Weak procurement infrastructure for pulses/oilseeds.
    • Underutilised FPOs/SHGs.
  • Stakeholder Views
    • Farmers rely on paddy for assured returns.
    • Government faces fiscal & storage pressures.
    • Consumers need stable pulse/oil prices.

Way Forward

  • Shift procurement focus to pulses & oilseeds.
  • Guarantee procurement + insurance to push diversification.
  • Allow predictable rice exports during surpluses.
  • Strengthen FPOs/SHGs for decentralised procurement.
  • End-to-end digital PDS to curb leakages.
  • Promote region-appropriate cropping & soil- health initiatives.

UNPACKING THE GLOBAL ‘HAPPINESS’ RANKING

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • WHR 2025 places Finland, Denmark, Iceland, Sweden at the top.
  • India ranks 118, Pakistan ranks 109.
  • Report uses Gallup Cantril Ladder to measure life satisfaction.
  • Raises a key question: Does happiness reflect economic growth or social perception?

Key Points

  • Nordic countries score high due to strong social trust, low corruption, reliable services.
  • India has strong GDP but low perceived satisfaction because expectations are rising.
  • Societies with lower expectations often report higher happiness, affecting developing nations’ rankings.
  • WHR notes community kindness and social trust matter more than income.
  • India has strong family support, but weak institutional trust and growing urban isolation.
  • Perception-based indices can create biases against open democracies.

Static Linkages

  • SDG 3: Good Health and Well-being relates to happiness.
  • Easterlin Paradox: more income does not always increase happiness.
  • Article 47: State duty to improve public health and living standards.
  • Social Capital Theory: closer communities → higher well-being.
  • Bhutan’s GNH: alternative development model focusing on happiness.
  • NITI Aayog’s MPI: includes quality-of-life indicators.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Captures factors beyond income.
    • Highlights importance of trust, fairness, mental health.
    • Encourages holistic development.
  • Cons / Concerns
    • Perception-driven, not fully objective.
    • WEIRD bias—favors Western individualistic societies.
    • Democracies appear less “happy” due to open criticism and high aspirations.
    • India’s strong family networks are not fully counted.
  • Stakeholder Views
    • Government: rankings have western bias.
    • Citizens: dissatisfaction may reflect ambition, not unhappiness.
    • Researchers: call for culturally sensitive indicators.

Way Forward

  • Build Social Capital: community spaces, shared activities, stronger neighbourhood networks.
  • Improve Institutional Trust: simpler services, transparent delivery, faster grievance redressal.
  • Mental Health Priority: expand Tele-MANAS, counselling in schools and workplaces.
  • Create India-specific Well-being Index: include family support, cultural bonds, social resilience.
EXCESSIVE DEPENDENCE
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • India saw a record trade deficit of $41.68 bn (Oct 2025) due to:
  • U.S. 50% tariff shock (from August).
  • Sharp fall in exports + surge in bullion imports.
  • Labour-intensive exports hit; rupee weakened; hedging and portfolio outflows increased.
  • Govt + RBI announced export-support measures; structural shift still unclear.

Key Points

  • Exports down 11.8% YoY to $34.38 bn; U.S. exports down 9%.
  • Gold imports tripled, silver up 5× → safe-haven demand.
  • Rupee weakened from ₹85.6/$ → ₹88.4/$.   Import rise driven by costlier currency + cheaper foreign intermediates.
  • Russian imports -27.7%, U.S. imports +13.8%.
  • Govt launched ₹25,060 cr export-promotion package; RBI gave tariff relief steps.
  • India–U.S. trade talks may soften tariff pressures.

Static Linkages

  • Trade deficit → Current Account Deficit.  Currency depreciation & J-curve effect.  Gold imports and CAD relationship (Eco Survey).
  • WTO principles on tariffs and market access.
  • Labour-intensive sectors and employment link.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros:
    • Encourages export diversification.  May strengthen India–U.S. ties.
    • Intermediates help maintain export competitiveness.
  • Cons:
    • Higher CAD, rupee pressure, imported inflation.
    • Labour-intensive job losses.
    • Dependence on U.S. exposes India to external shocks.
    • Rising intermediate imports weaken domestic value chains.

Way Forward

  • Fast-track India–U.S. trade deal.
  • Boost domestic supply chains & reduce import reliance.
  • Diversify export markets (EU, ASEAN, Africa).  Strengthen export credit, MSME capacity.
  • Broaden rupee settlement mechanisms.

BAD TIDINGS

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • A stone quarry collapsed in Obra, Sonbhadra (UP), killing and trapping workers.
  • Sonbhadra is part of India’s mineral-rich belt and hosts ~6,000 MW coal capacity.
  • State govt ordered a three-tier probe; FIR filed for safety violations.
  • Concerns over delayed disaster response, inadequate safety gear, and possible illegal quarrying.

Key Points

  • Region has multiple stone and coal mines across Vindhyas–Kaimur hills.
  • No local disaster response base, slowing rescue operations.
  • Micro-geological surveys rarely done despite being essential.
  • Unsafe blasting and lack of benching increased collapse risk.
  • Contractors are small, under-regulated, and often bypass scientific norms.

Static Linkages

  • MMDR Act, 1957 – State role in mining leases & regulation.
  • NDMA guidelines on industrial/mining disasters.
  • EIA 2006 – safety, environmental management, mine closure norms.
  • Occupational Safety & Health Code, 2020 – worker safety provisions.
  • Geology basics – slope stability, fracture/joint systems.

Critical Analysis

  • Positives
    • Quick FIR and multi-level inquiry.
    • Public scrutiny pushing accountability.
  • Challenges
    • Weak monitoring after lease approval.
    • Illegal mining & political–contractor nexus.  Lack of scientific blasting and benching.
    • Workers’ poor training and safety compliance.  
    • No decentralised disaster-response setup.
  • Stakeholders
    • Workers: unsafe, informal work.
    • Govt: revenue vs safety dilemma.
    • Local communities: environmental threats.  Experts: long-ignored scientific warnings.

Way Forward

  • Mandatory micro-geological mapping before mining.
  • Set up local SDRF units in mining belts.
  • Enforce benching, blasting norms, PPE.
  • Tech-based monitoring (drones, sensors).
  • Engage IIT (ISM) Dhanbad for periodic audits.
  • Transparent, digital mining compliance dashboards.
  • Worker insurance & social security (E-Shram, PM-SBY).

SU.S., SAUDI TIES STRAINED BY ISRAEL’S ROLE

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • MbS’s visit to Washington signals a major reset in US–Saudi ties.
  • Focus on a new strategic bargain: defence pact, nuclear cooperation, AI, technology, and Saudi–Israel normalisation.
  • Comes after a new UNSC Gaza resolution and push to expand Abraham Accords.
  • MbS seeks US support for succession and Vision 2030.

Key Points

  • US–Saudi ties rooted in the 1945 FDR–King Abdulaziz oil-security pact.
  • New agenda:
    • US defence agreement + access to F-35s.
    • Civil nuclear deal for energy diversification and Iran parity.
    • Collaboration in AI, data centres, and defence-tech.
  • US goal: Saudi recognition of Israel & Middle East stabilisation.
  • UNSC Nov 17 resolution:
    • Plan for Gaza stabilisation force of Muslim countries.
    • “Credible pathway” for Palestinian self- determination.
  • Main hurdle: Israeli domestic opposition to concessions.

Static Linkages

  • India’s energy security reliant on Gulf crude.
  • Abraham Accords (2020) – US-facilitated normalisation with Israel.
  • Civil nuclear cooperation guided by IAEA safeguards & 123 Agreements.
  • US defence transfers regulated by ITAR.
  • Gulf reshaping affects India’s diaspora & remittances.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Potential for stable regional order.
    • Boost to Saudi economic diversification.  Strengthens anti-Iran balance.
    • Enhances global energy and tech cooperation.
  • Cons
    • Israeli coalition’s resistance to concessions.
    • US Congressional hesitation on defence pact.  Risk of nuclear competition in region.
    • Human rights concerns in Saudi Arabia.
  • Stakeholders
    • US: Maintain influence, expand Abraham Accords.
    • Saudi: Security guarantees, tech access, Vision 2030.
    • Israel: Wants ties but resists statehood concessions.
    • India: Gains in energy, trade, IMEC corridor.

Way Forward

  • Create realistic roadmap for Palestinian statehood.
  • Ensure nuclear cooperation under strict IAEA oversight.
  • Build inclusive regional security frameworks.
  • Strengthen India–Saudi cooperation in clean energy & tech.

MADVI HIDMA’S DEATH LEAVES MAOISTS ADRIFT

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • Telangana’s Greyhounds killed top Maoist leader Hidma in Alluri Sitarama Raju district.
  • Major boost toward the Union Home Ministry’s goal of ending LWE by March 2026.
  • Recent mass surrenders (258 cadres) in Gadchiroli & Jagdalpur show weakening Maoist structure.
  • Joint operations by CRPF, COBRA, BSF, ITBP, State Police have severely disrupted leadership.
  • Chhattisgarh’s Rehabilitation to Rejuvenation programme is absorbing surrendered cadres.

KEY POINTS

  • Hidma, PLGA commander and Central Committee member, led major attacks for decades.
  • Security forces’ deeper operations in Abhujhmad forced his displacement.
  • A major operation killing 31 Maoists in 2024 weakened his network.
  • With leadership collapse, more cadres likely to surrender.
  • Rehabilitation includes skill training, cafeteria jobs, and induction into police forces.

STATIC LINKAGES

  • Fifth Schedule tribal governance and administrative gaps in LWE belts.
  • Forest Rights Act 2006 implementation challenges.
  • Role of CRPF as the lead counter-insurgency force.
  • Security–development strategy from Expert Group Report (2008).
  • Police Modernisation and intelligence coordination through MAC/SMAC.

CRITICAL ANALYSIS

  • Pros
    • Major weakening of Maoist hierarchy.  Better Centre–State coordination.
    • Faster progress of roads, telecom, banking in LWE zones.
  • Challenges
    • Risk of splinter groups.
    • Persistent tribal grievances: land, displacement, lack of services.
    • Need to balance force with community trust.  Forest terrain still offers insurgent mobility.

WAY FORWARD

  • Accelerate development & tribal rights implementation (FRA, PESA).
  • Strengthen Gram Sabhas and district administration.
  • Enhance rehab incentives and long-term livelihood support.
  • Use drones, mapping tech, and sustained police presence.

GAZA RESOLUTION CANNOT EXCLUDE ISRAEL

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

Context of the News

  • A US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hamas took effect in Gaza.
  • UNSC (13–0 vote) approved the US President’s 20-point Gaza plan, creating a “Board of Peace”.
  • Resolution proposes an International Stabilisation Force (ISF) and a new governing authority for Gaza.
  • Mentions a possible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood.
  • Israel and Hamas have opposed key elements of the plan.

Key Points

  • UNSC resolutions are binding under international law (UN Charter Art. 25).
  • US shifts from isolation to central role in post- war governance.
  • ISF to secure Gaza during transition; Hamas rejects disarmament.
  • New Gaza authority to operate without Israeli approval.
  • Israel reiterates no Palestinian state position; Arab states back reconstruction roadmap.

Static Linkages

  • UNGA resolutions = non-binding; UNSC = binding.
  • Statehood criteria: Montevideo Convention (territory, population, government, external relations).
  • Past frameworks: Oslo Accords, Arab Peace Initiative, Abraham Accords.
  • Stabilisation Forces vs Peacekeeping: former may work in coercive environments.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • First US-backed reference to Palestinian statehood in years.
    • Creates an internationally supervised pathway for security + reconstruction.
    • ISF may reduce militant influence and stabilise the region.
  • Concerns
    • Israel’s open rejection stalls political progress.
    • Hamas refuses disarmament → undermines ISF mandate.
    • New governing authority may face legitimacy crisis among Palestinians.
    • Regional actors (e.g., Iran-backed groups) may escalate tensions.

Way Forward

  • Ensure inclusive Palestinian representation.
  • Set clear timelines for reconstruction & reforms.
  • Establish monitored disarmament roadmap.
  • Strengthen humanitarian access and ceasefire mechanisms.
  • Create a secure, transparent Gaza Reconstruction Fund.

BASE EFFECTS,BULLION  SHAPED CPI INFLATION

KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Context of the News
  • CPI inflation has stayed below RBI’s 4% target for 9 months, dropping to 0.25% in Oct 2025.
  • Driven by GST cuts (22 Sept 2025), strong base effects, and –5.02% food inflation.
  • Base effects turn unfavourable from Nov, peaking Jan 2026 → inflation to rise.
  • Debate over repo rate cut in upcoming MPC meets.
  • Bullion inflation distorting CPI: Gold +57.83%, Silver +62.36%.

Key Points

  • Oct inflation extremely low due to 133 bps favourable base effect.
  • Food base effect high (256 bps), pulling food inflation negative.
  • Removing gold & silver → CPI becomes –0.63%.
  • GST cuts not fully passed on; more disinflation likely in Nov.
  • 6.3% of GST-related price cuts reversed online.

Static Linkages

  • CPI = Laspeyres index, released by NSO.
  • Inflation targeting: 4% ± 2% under Monetary Policy Framework.
  • Food weight in CPI: ~39%.
  • MPC: 6 members, decides repo rate.

Critical Analysis

  • Pros
    • Supports purchasing power & consumption.  
    • Provides room for accommodative policy.
    • GST cuts temporarily stabilise prices.
  • Cons
    • Disinflation is mostly statistical, not structural.  Food inflation likely to rebound.
    • Bullion-led distortions complicate policy signalling.
    • Partial reversal of GST cuts reduces disinflation gains.
  • Stakeholder View
    • RBI: Must look beyond headline CPI; consider core and expectations.
    • Govt: Gains politically but risks revenue loss.
    • Consumers: Benefit now; vulnerable later.

Way Forward

  • Focus on core inflation for policy decisions.
  • Improve GST pass-through compliance.
  • Update CPI weights using fresh consumer survey.
  • Strengthen food supply chains to curb volatility.
  • Avoid premature rate cuts before base normalises.